Why People Are So Confident When They’re Wrong

Dive into the surprisingly common trap of overconfidence—why our brains shortcut complex judgments (hello, Dunning-Kruger), how a rogue trader and a centuries-old bank collapse illustrate the real-world costs, and why a little hubris can sometimes be a good thing. You’ll learn simple feedback hacks to keep your ego in check, plus a sneak peek at Veritasium’s tabletop game (now on Kickstarter) designed to squash overconfidence before it wreaks havoc.

Along the way, Derek Muller and team chat with Professors Moore and Fischhoff, unpack the classic overconfidence curve, and share everything from magnetic molecule-building kits (Snatoms) to weekly science updates. Consider this your whistle-stop tour of cognitive bias—packed with practical fixes and a dash of Veritasium flair.

Watch on YouTube