Why People Are So Confident When They’re Wrong unpacks the most dangerous cognitive bias—overconfidence—and shows why our brains take shortcuts that make us believe we know more than we do. You’ll see the real Dunning-Kruger graph, hear how Nick Leeson’s rogue trading and a historic bank collapse highlight our blind spots, and discover why feedback (or the lack of it) is key to reining in that misplaced certainty.
On top of that, Derek Muller and team are launching a tabletop game on Kickstarter to help you catch and correct your own overconfidence. Big thanks to Professors Moore & Fischhoff, the Veritasium crew, and all the Patreon supporters who made this deep dive into cognitive quirks both fun and enlightening.
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