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Umut Akbulut
Umut Akbulut

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Wall Street’s Stranglehold on Artificial Intelligence: The Silent Collapse of Innovation


Artificial intelligence was once the domain of curiosity. The minds who built it were not chasing investments, but ideas. In laboratories around the world, small teams worked with limited resources but limitless imagination. Their questions were simple yet profound: Can a machine think? Is learning innate or can it be modeled? Does intelligence emerge from information or from context? None of these questions were asked to make money; they were all asked to understand the human mind. In the early years of AI, researchers were not afraid to fail — because failure was the most natural state of science. The direction of innovation was determined by courage, by curiosity that pushed boundaries, and sometimes by sheer stubbornness.
Today, the landscape has changed completely. Those same laboratories have turned into corporate headquarters; the same research notes now appear as appendices in investor presentations. Science has been reduced to a performance metric: the value of a model is no longer defined by how many problems it solves but by how many billions it raises. What once tested the cognitive limits of humanity has become a portfolio diversification instrument. The rhythm of research is no longer set by experiments, but by market expectations. Which field gets funding, which architecture is “on trend,” which model appears “commercially viable” — these considerations now take precedence over scientific curiosity itself. The screens that researchers once kept glowing through the night now display financial dashboards. Code has been replaced by profitability; algorithms by amortization schedules. The language of scientific progress has shifted from mathematics to finance. ROI has become as critical a metric as latency. And this transformation has happened so quietly, so naturally, that almost no one notices it as a deviation. AI continues to grow, continues to attract funding, continues to dominate headlines — but its growth now follows the rhythm of capital, not science. Innovation is no longer a discovery; it is a financial product. And finance moves at a far faster pace than science ever can. That is why today’s AI landscape, which appears as a chart of progress, is in fact a sign of slow collapse. The more innovation conforms to the tempo of capital, the more it loses its meaning. Everything is getting bigger, faster, and more expensive — but not deeper. Algorithms grow, data centers expand, GPUs overheat — yet thought itself cools. Intelligence has ceased to be a field of inquiry and become a commodity. And commodities, by their nature, decay; the moment they replace science, they begin to consume themselves.
The transformer era redefined the relationship between human language and machines. The 2017 paper Attention Is All You Need presented one of the simplest yet most powerful ideas in the history of computer science: meaning could be modeled through attention. The transformer architecture achieved human-like performance not only in translation but across nearly every cognitive task, marking one of the greatest technical leaps of the century. But this triumph paradoxically condemned the field to a single direction. As the shadow of success grew, diversity shrank. Today, every model is a transformer variation. Big tech companies scale the same structure over and over; startups market it as an “AI-powered product”; academia refines the same formula through optimization. Everyone works within the same equation; no one adds a new symbol. The transformer has ceased to be a creative breakthrough and become an economic protocol. New ideas fail to get funded because, in the eyes of investors, innovation is synonymous with risk. And risk means potential loss. Thus, scientific courage has been buried under the logic of markets.
AI’s confinement to a single architecture is historically unprecedented. Never before in the history of science has one paradigm achieved such total dominance so quickly. In some sense, it was inevitable: the transformer was both practical and efficient, capable of producing measurable results. But measurability belongs not to the comfort zone of science, but to that of investors. Science thrives on uncertainty; it advances through what cannot yet be measured. The more research becomes measurable, the less room remains for creative risk. Architectures like Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) or RWKV offer far more energy-efficient, temporally aware, even biologically inspired systems. Yet to the world of finance, such ideas appear too small, too academic, too slow — because their returns are long-term. To today’s investor, a long-term idea is a pointless expense. And so science’s most fundamental temporal concept — patience — has become the enemy of investment.
The great irony of the AI economy is this: as investment volume grows, innovation declines. In the first half of 2025, global AI funding surpassed $116 billion, yet this flood of capital has not accelerated science — it has homogenized it. When everyone funds the same thing, the emergence of something different becomes impossible. Capital no longer fuels discovery; it standardizes it. The direction of science is now determined not by curiosity, but by security. What is safe gets funded; what is risky dies. That is why AI, though expanding numerically, is shrinking intellectually. Giant models now run on small ideas. Each new release is merely an enlarged version of the previous one. Scientifically, this is not progress — it is architectural inflation. The scale grows, but the meaning remains static. Humanity now treats the machine it created as a financial asset: minimizing its risk, maximizing its yield, and in the process, rendering it stagnant.
This pressure of capital is not only economic but cultural. Laboratories have become extensions of financial offices. Researchers are now expected to include “potential revenue models” in their funding applications. Universities have turned into entrepreneurship incubators. Young scientists take career risks merely by proposing a non-transformer architecture. The academic system has replaced the question “Can you publish it?” with “Can you monetize it?” And this is the most silent yet dangerous form of censorship: no one explicitly says “don’t research that,” because the system already does. The moment science ceases to be financially irrational, it ceases to be science at all.
AI today is not just in a technical bottleneck — it is trapped in an ideological one. The phenomenon known as “AI Washing” is its most visible symptom. Companies are rebranding ordinary software with “AI-powered” labels. A simple automation tool is marketed as an “AI solution”; a chatbot becomes an “AI companion.” This illusion keeps the market vibrant without producing any real innovation. It appears as though we are living through an “AI revolution,” but what is actually happening is the branding of innovation’s language. The measure of scientific progress is no longer how many papers are published, but how many funding rounds are closed. This doesn’t just change the language of science — it changes its consciousness. Science’s purpose was once to generate meaning; today it merely generates perception. Genuine ideas fall silent because their amplifier is no longer the microphone but the budget.
And yet, real innovation is still possible. Spiking Neural Networks could revolutionize energy efficiency by mimicking the brain’s temporal processing. RWKV could redefine large-scale computation with its linear-time simplicity. But these ideas go unheard because they don’t fit into the logic of funding. Investors never finance anything that cannot promise short-term returns. Thus, the most creative ideas today live in the quietest corners of laboratories. The voice of innovation is fading because the noise is too loud. And that noise is the voice of finance. Capital speaks so loudly now that the voice of science has become mere background hum.
Reversing this trajectory is not a technical issue — it is an ethical one. For science to breathe again, it must reclaim spaces free from financial expectation. Without long-term, patience-based funding models, AI will never again deserve the name “intelligence.” Universities and governments must evaluate research not by its “time to commercialization,” but by its “depth of understanding.” The temporal scale of science cannot be measured by the graphs of the market. Real progress is about meaning, not magnitude. A small but correct idea is more transformative than a trillion-parameter model.
The true revolution in AI may not come from the next great model, but from the retreat of money itself. Because when capital withdraws, curiosity returns. Curiosity is humanity’s cheapest yet most powerful form of energy. To ignore it is to betray the nature of intelligence itself. The day scientists begin to ask “why” again, AI will return to the realm of science. Until then, every new model will continue to illuminate the same darkness — just a little more brightly each time.
And perhaps, at the end of this entire story, we must remember one simple engineering principle:
If the timing of a system is not deterministic, its output can never be reliable.
Today, the timing of science is left to the whims of investment cycles.
That is why AI, no matter how powerful it seems, is not truly trustworthy.
Because intelligence exists not through processing power, but through continuity of meaning.
If time is not deterministic, intelligence can never be safe.

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