What A Simple Question Reveals About The Most Dangerous Cognitive Bias
Derek Muller dives into the pitfalls of overconfidence—how the Dunning-Kruger effect tricks us into thinking we know more than we do, why our brains lean on lazy shortcuts, and how that misplaced certainty led to disasters like Nick Leeson’s rogue trading and the downfall of a centuries-old bank. Along the way, he shows the real shape of the Dunning-Kruger curve and even points out some surprising upsides to a dash of confidence.
He wraps up by stressing the power of honest feedback and a simple self-check (“How confident am I, really?”) to keep us grounded. Want to practice? There’s even a new tabletop game on Kickstarter designed to help you calibrate your confidence muscle.
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