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Veritasium: Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong

Why We’re So Sure We’re Right (But Aren’t)

We tend to be incredibly confident in our own beliefs and abilities because our brains love shortcuts—cue the Dunning-Kruger effect. In this video Derek Muller breaks down how overconfidence shows up (think rogue trader Nick Leeson and the collapse of one of England’s oldest banks), why it happens (cognitive biases and sketchy feedback), and how even well-meaning self-assurance can lead us astray.

Turning Overconfidence Into an Asset

A little swagger isn’t all bad: confidence fuels creativity and risk-taking. The secret sauce is regular, honest feedback and a willingness to update your views. To help with that, Veritasium has even launched a tabletop game on Kickstarter designed to reveal those blind spots and sharpen your self-awareness.

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