Why People Are So Confident When They’re Wrong

Ever found yourself 110% sure you nailed an answer...and turned out you were miles off? This video dives into the psychology of overconfidence: from the real Dunning-Kruger curve and mental shortcuts our brains take, to the surprising upsides of a little unwarranted swagger. Along the way, you’ll meet cautionary tales like rogue trader Nick Leeson and the collapse of one of England’s oldest banks—classic examples of what happens when feedback loops break down.

Thankfully, it’s not all doom and gloom. With insights from top researchers and a fun tabletop game designed to expose your blind spots, you’ll learn practical tips for checking your certainty—think honest feedback, self-quizzing, and embracing a healthy dose of doubt before you bet the house on being right.

Watch on YouTube