Why People Are So Confident When They're Wrong

Ever been ridiculously sure you’re right only to be way off? This video dives into the most dangerous cognitive bias—overconfidence. It unpacks the real Dunning-Kruger graph, shows how our brains take shortcuts, and even argues that a dash of hubris can be useful. Along the way you get compelling case studies: rogue trader Nick Leeson, the collapse of one of England’s oldest banks, and the vital role of honest feedback.

But fear not—there are fixes. You’ll learn practical tips for calibrating your confidence, plus get a sneak peek at a new tabletop game designed to train you out of overconfidence (and a cool magnetic molecular kit if chemistry’s your jam).

Watch on YouTube