The Most Dangerous Cognitive Bias

Ever caught yourself way too sure you’re right? This video dives into the quirks of overconfidence—from the real Dunning-Kruger curve to why our brains love mental shortcuts—and even shows you how a little swagger can be both a blessing and a curse. Along the way, you’ll meet infamous examples like rogue trader Nick Leeson, see how feedback (or the lack of it) sank one of England’s oldest banks, and pick up practical tips for tuning down that overblown self-assurance.

In a nutshell: understand why you’re overconfident, learn when it’s actually helpful, and discover proven strategies—backed by experts Moore and Fischhoff—for keeping your ego in check. Plus, there’s a fun tabletop game in the works to help you spot and squash your own biases!

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