What A Simple Question Reveals About The Most Dangerous Cognitive Bias
This Veritasium video dissects why we’re so prone to overconfidence—starting with a simple “How sure are you?” quiz to expose our blind spots. You’ll see the truth behind the real Dunning-Kruger curve, learn how our brains take lazy shortcuts, and even discover why a pinch of unwarranted confidence can sometimes be helpful.
But unchecked overconfidence has wrecked careers and entire banks—from rogue trader Nick Leeson to one of England’s oldest financial institutions. Derek Muller and guests (Professors Moore and Fischhoff) break down the importance of honest feedback and share practical tips and a tabletop game to help you curb your certainty bias before it costs you big time.
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